Russia’s war in Ukraine a colossal military mistake, armed forces expert tells Fox News

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Not to mention the evidence of war crimes, the war in Ukraine was a colossal military mistake, according to a Russian armed forces expert and veteran of the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. And he says it’s beyond the minds of many like him.

It’s not that the Russian soldiers lacked good equipment, food or warm clothes, as many have said, according to Valery Shiryaev. It was that there were far too few of them to do what their president wanted them to do, which, according to Shiryaev, was the impossible.

The United States and its coalition partners sent half a million troops to fight the first Gulf War in circumstances in which it could be said that Saddam Hussein had less support on his side than the Ukrainian president did. currently has as his country fights an existential battle. Compare that to the fact that Russia had less than a quarter of that number – barely 120,000 lined up for the invasion of Ukraine, which Shiryaev never thought would happen, until it happened.

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Shiryaev, a veteran of the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, said this war was like no other in this century, with men on both sides who have a similar culture and fight the same way, or at least come from the same experience. The Red Army may be long gone, but a legacy must live on in the republics of the former USSR.

This led Shiryaev to wonder how the Russians even thought of waging this war in the first place. “It’s a great mystery!” explained the military expert. “There was an opinion among military experts that an attack was not rational. Everyone assumed [Russian President Vladimir] Putin, as a politician, acts rationally,” Shiryaev continued. “If a politician is ruled by emotions, he can make a mistake.” And Shiryaev said the war in Ukraine was “colossal.” He described it as a miscalculation shared between the various agencies studying the situation, from the Russian security agency known as the FSB to foreign intelligence to military intelligence. like many others, if these generals and spies were too shy to tell Putin the truth and exactly how the decision to enter was made.

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He also underlined the underestimation of Ukraine’s determination. “I don’t understand. We all know the Ukrainians – they are our brothers. We know them as ourselves. They would never surrender, just like the Russians would never surrender if attacked.”

He blamed what he called essentially a one-man power structure in Russia for the miscalculations. Even under the undemocratic system that was communism, there were checks and balances. “After Stalin’s death,” Shiryaev continued, “there was a collective leadership within the Communist Party, and when the troops entered Afghanistan, there was a vote in the Politburo of the Communist Party,” he said. he says. Of course, it was not known if this vote had taken place at the end of the barrel of a gun. “The Chinese Communist Party also has a voting procedure, but in Russia there is one person and he made a mistake. This is the tragedy of Russia’s political structure.”

Ukrainian soldiers celebrate at a checkpoint in Bucha, on the outskirts of kyiv, Ukraine, April 3.
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Ukrainian soldiers celebrate at a checkpoint in Bucha, on the outskirts of kyiv, Ukraine, April 3.
(AP Photo/Rodrigo Abd)

On nuclear weapons, Shiryaev was not alarmist, saying Russia’s rhetoric about improving readiness was aimed at ensuring NATO boots did not enter Ukraine. He was also convinced that the Russians would not use chemical or biological weapons. He didn’t believe the Russians would deploy something so toxic so close to their own borders, something that could backfire.

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It saw an end to Russia’s annual Victory Day, celebrated on May 9, when Nazi Germany’s defeat in World War II is marked. And maybe, Shiryaev suggested, Putin will declare then that whatever they took is exactly what they wanted all along – and that will be the twist. But, he admitted that even the struggle for Donbass did not go so well. Just listen to the Russians.

“Everyday, [Russian Ministry of Defense spokesman Igor] Konashenkov tells how Ukrainian missiles and Ukrainian shells explode in Donetsk. This means that the troops are where they were and nothing has changed. And a month has already passed. Every day Konashenkov tells us that Russia is destroying Ukrainian planes, S-300 air defense equipment. But I’m sorry, those targets should have been destroyed in the first week.”

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