Wandsworth, the site of Labour’s sensational overnight victory, was one of the few councils to change hands. Overall, party fortunes varied geographically as the votes of early English councils were counted.
Although the Tories lost over 100 seats and control of some key councils, it did not translate into a completely triumphant evening for Labour.
Tory losses in the south of England were largely due to the Lib Dems and other parties, notably the Greens. Labor gained ground in the East but lost votes in all other parts of the UK except London.
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Although the results were disappointing for Labor and its leader Sir Keir Starmer, they can be encouraged by the results in specific councils, such as Wandsworth and Cumberland.
Wandsworth had been in Tory hands since 1978, and Labour’s victory there reflects its growing electoral dominance in the capital – where it also won Barnett and recorded a shock victory in westminster.
This chart shows how far ahead the Conservatives were over the past few decades.
cumberland is a new council, made up of Allerdale, Carlisle and Copeland, so it’s not fair to call it a job save. But the Conservatives were the largest party in two of those three former councils and have mostly the three MPs in the region.
It’s important to remember that the last time these seats were contested was in 2018, when Labor polled relatively well.
It was a year before Labor suffered heavy losses in the ‘red wall’ – the name given to northern and Midlands constituencies – in the 2019 general election.
By registering similar support in these areas as in 2018, there is a hint that Labor could start to reclaim some of these constituencies in a general election and rob the Conservatives of their majority.
In Wolverhamptonfor example, there was no overnight change in the number of Labour-controlled council seats, but their share of the vote has increased compared to last year’s general and local elections.
They would have taken the two Wolverhampton constituencies from the Tories if it was a general election.
Labor performance in neighboring countries Sandwell indicates that they would also have won one of the two seats in West Bromwich.
However, based on the results so far, they would still be a long way from battling for an outright victory in the Commons.
Brexit voting trends are still relevant
Since the EU referendum in 2016, we have become accustomed to dramatic changes in voting habits. It seems from today’s results that at least those trends have become a bit more predictable.
Sky News’ analysis of hundreds of neighborhood results shows the Tories continuing to increase their share of the vote in areas where more people voted to leave the EU.
Liberal Democrats are making gains at the expense of conservatives in seats, especially in the south, where more people have gone to college. And Labor performs better in urban areas, especially London.
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