Coronavirus lockdown in Germany ‘not responsible’ for pandemic decline, study finds


A new study from a German university has found that the country’s COVID-19 infections were already on the decline before each government-mandated lockdown.

Statisticians from the Ludwig Maximilians University in Munich analyzed infection rates during the days of national lockdowns in Germany.

The study concluded that the infection rate was already dropping when the government imposed more extreme measures in an attempt to curb the spread of the virus.

Protesters gather outside the Brandenburg Gate ahead of a protest against the German government's coronavirus measures in Berlin, Germany, Saturday August 29, 2020.

Protesters gather outside the Brandenburg Gate ahead of a protest against the German government’s coronavirus measures in Berlin, Germany, Saturday August 29, 2020.
(Christophe Gateau / dpa via AP)

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The study focused on the number of people infected by each person infected with the virus, which statisticians say is more difficult to distort with fluctuating test rates, according to the Telegraph.

Every time a lockdown was initiated, the data already indicated a drop in infections.

This has led some anti-lockdown proponents to claim that the lockdowns have “no effect” in stopping the spread of the pandemic, but the study’s authors stressed that it is not clear what effect. the locks could have had otherwise.

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“The measures taken could have had a positive effect on the course of the infection, but are not the only ones responsible for the decline,” wrote the authors of the study.

Professor Ralph Brinks argued that “you can’t tell” if a lockdown is needed.

“All this shows is that the start of the lockdown and the decline in infections do not coincide,” Brinks said in a German television interview.

Angela Merkel's administration initiated several blockages during the pandemic.

Angela Merkel’s administration initiated several blockages during the pandemic.
(PA)

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No one disputed the study’s numbers, but some scientists argued that the mere discussion and debate of blockages may have influenced people’s behavior.

Germany launched a “lockdown lite” with only bars and restaurants closed in November, moving to more complete closures in December and again in April.

Medical journalist Christoph Specht told public radio Deutschlandfunk that the number of infections had fallen due to vaccinations rather than the “emergency brake” put in place by Prime Minister Angela Merkel’s administration.

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“Yes, I think – not necessarily because of the emergency brake, but because more vaccines are not only popular, but have actually been delivered in recent days,” Specht said.

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